Front of Mind, Issue 1

The Musk premium

SpaceX's IPO shows that executive visibility has real financial value. You can't copy Musk's profile, but you can learn where the pay-off actually comes from.

Listen, 3 minAI narration in Jordan's own voice

Whatever happens next, the recent SpaceX IPO is the clearest example we have of executive visibility in action.

Why this newsletter makes me cringe

It makes me cringe to write this newsletter. Partly because the debate about SpaceX is saturated, and one of my rules of thought leadership is to avoid topics that have been talked to death. I'm breaking it here.

But mostly because I hate it when potential clients get in touch and say they want a profile like Elon Musk's. Jeez. It isn't just that Musk's profile is polarising. It's that you cannot magic a profile like that out of nothing.

Musk has built his over three or four decades, by building companies and running stunts pretty much weekly or daily. It's pretty much his day-to-day job.

It isn't just that Musk's profile is polarising. It's that you cannot magic a profile like that out of nothing.
Jordan Greenaway

That cannot be replicated in a six-month campaign. Go back to Zip2, Musk's first start-up, and all you would find is trade magazine features, if that. Zuckerberg's first media appearance was a two-minute hit on local TV.

Executive visibility has real value

But there is still something to learn here. It's that executive visibility has real value. And that value is not small.

The market capitalisation of SpaceX, and its extraordinary multiple on listing, is undoubtedly tied to the fact that it is led by Elon Musk, and that he is known to be a particular type of person who runs businesses in particular ways.

Jordan Greenaway, Founder & CEO at Profile.
Jordan Greenaway, Founder & CEO at Profile.

Whether that is because he is a genius, a visionary, or just good at hyping the markets is a secondary argument. His profile moves the value of the business.

Fight it or get on board

This is usually where people start arguing about whether companies should be valued this way. Many people will say that it is unhealthy for a company to be so tied to the profile of its executive team.

Okay, sure, but it isn't my place to decide what should and shouldn't move a valuation. My role is simply to point out that this does. You can fight it, or you can get on board.

The pay-off is a reputation halo

But if you decide to get on board, you need to get on board for the right reasons. The pay-off from an executive visibility campaign isn't always simply in the short-term acquisition pipeline. It's in the reputation halo it gives the company.

Or, to put it another way: do I think more people are buying rockets or Teslas because Musk runs the place? Almost certainly not. Arguably he has hurt sales. But his visibility has done something else.

It has projected the company into the public conversation. There is value in simply being known, and it is hard to measure in lead generation terms. But you can see it in the IPO.

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The reading list

Three things Jordan has been reading, and why they're worth your time.

  1. CNNSpaceX investors may be overlooking a major risk: there's no replacing Elon Musk

    The clearest evidence I've seen that a leader's visibility is priced into a business – put in writing by the business itself.

  2. ForbesElon Musk's wealth rests on a fragile market foundation

    A behavioural economist making the case I said I wouldn't get into – that enthusiasm is doing the work that cash flow should – and making it well enough that you should read it before disagreeing with me.

  3. fool.comHere's why 911.5 million insider shares could hit the market -- and what that means for investors

    Dry but useful on the mechanics of what happens when 911 million shares become sellable, which is the bit most of the commentary skipped past.

Questions this issue answers

What does the SpaceX IPO show about executive visibility?

Jordan Greenaway argues that SpaceX's market capitalisation and extraordinary listing multiple are tied to being led by Elon Musk. Whether Musk is a genius, a visionary or simply good at hyping markets is secondary. His profile moves the value of the business.

Can an executive build a profile like Elon Musk's?

Not quickly, according to Jordan Greenaway. Musk built his profile over three or four decades by building companies and running stunts almost daily, and that cannot be replicated in a six-month campaign. Even Musk's first start-up, Zip2, got little more than trade magazine coverage.

What is the real benefit of an executive visibility campaign?

Jordan Greenaway says the pay-off isn't always in the short-term acquisition pipeline but in the reputation halo it gives the company. He doubts Musk sells more rockets or Teslas and may even have hurt sales. But Musk's visibility has put the company into the public conversation, and that value showed up in the IPO.

Written by

Jordan Greenaway

Founder & CEO, Profile. London

Jordan Greenaway writes about why expertise is now what buyers are really buying, and how firms make their experts findable: in search, in the press and, increasingly, in AI answers. He covers executive visibility, LLM SEO and the case for giving thought leadership the same priority as brand marketing, with commentary on the BBC and Times Radio and in PRWeek and Raconteur.

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